U.S.-Ukraine Critical Minerals Deal: 3 ETFs to Watch

Exploring the pending U.S.-Ukraine minerals deal and the potential investment implications.

Kyle Anthony Headshot
by Kyle Anthony
 · 2/27/2025
US Ukraine Deal
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Critical minerals are natural elements that are pivotal in the global economy. They are indispensable for the production of various products, including electronics, renewable energy technologies, aerospace, defense, and medical applications. Their criticality stems from their economic significance and the associated supply risk. The key factors that deem these minerals critical are their limited availability, geographical concentration of production, vulnerabilities in the supply chain, and the absence of easily accessible substitutes.

The current minerals deal being finalized between the U.S. and Ukraine underscores the importance of critical minerals. As various news publications have (e.g., the New York Times and the Financial Times) reported, the deal would give the United States revenues from Ukraine’s minerals and other natural resources. Ukraine purportedly controls more than 100 major deposits of critical minerals. Furthermore, Ukraine has deposits of 20 of the 50 minerals the U.S. Geological Survey lists as critical for America’s economic development and defense.

Ukraine Mineral Deal

Pushing Back Against China

Given the trade war with China, this deal comes at a crucial time for the United States. Late last year, the Chinese government announced a ban on exporting several critical minerals to the U.S., including gallium, germanium, antimony, and “superhard materials” widely used in manufacturing.

China justified the move by highlighting these materials’ dual military and civilian applications. This action was a direct response to the outgoing Biden Administration’s expanded restrictions on advanced technologies exported to China, aimed at curbing its ability to develop advanced chips for military equipment and artificial intelligence.

China’s recent export restrictions will significantly affect industries such as semiconductors, defense, and electric vehicles. Gallium is crucial for manufacturing components like satellite systems, power converters, LEDs, and high-powered chips for electric vehicles. Germanium is vital for fiber optics, infrared optics, and solar cells, while antimony plays a critical role in producing armor-piercing ammunition, night vision goggles, infrared sensors, precision optics, and electronics, including semiconductors, cables, and batteries.

A recent U.S. Geological Survey study estimates that China’s ban on gallium and germanium alone could reduce the U.S. gross domestic product by $3.4 billion.

3 ETFs to Watch

The global race for critical minerals is about to intensify with a potential U.S.-Ukraine agreement. As governments prioritize electrification and power generation, the demand for these resources is soaring. This creates a strategic investment window for those seeking pure-play exposure to the diverse mining equities and critical minerals that underpin this vital sector.

Global X Canada has a series of ETFs providing access to companies involved in sourcing, refining, and developing critical minerals in various ways. The Global X Copper Producers ETF (Ticker: COPP) provides exposure to the companies active in copper ore mining listed on select North American stock exchanges by replicating the performance of the Solactive North American Listed Copper Producers Index.

The reintroduction of nuclear power as a means of powering data centers means an increasing demand for uranium, a weighty metal that can be used as an abundant source of concentrated energy for nuclear reactors. The Global X Uranium ETF (Ticker: HURA) replicates the performance of the Solactive Global Uranium Pure-Play Index, which provides exposure to companies where a significant part of the business operations is or is expected to be related to the uranium industry.

 Finally, the increasing demand for lithium for use in batteries has elevated its importance. The Global X Lithium Producers Index ETF (Ticker: HILT) provides exposure to the performance of global, publicly listed companies engaged in the mining and/or production of lithium, lithium compounds, or lithium-related components. Currently, HLIT seeks to replicate the performance of the Solactive Global Lithium Producers Index.

Please note this article is for information purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice. It is essential that you seek advice from a registered financial professional prior to making any investment decision.

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